All Posts
Everything I post here is free to use!
However, I would appreciate it if you do not take credit for my work. Please add a link to my profile/website if you decide to share it with your followers.
Latest posts
SMU (2023-02-12): It’s All About The Rates
This week has been controlled by the narrative from both the FED and ECB, signalling that we should expect higher rates than the markets are pricing at the moment. This has affected the markets in the following way: (1) Indices down, (2) Rates up, (3) Stronger USD.
SMU (2023-02-05): NFP Surprise – Good or Bad?
Markets have stayed strong, but might experience a drawdown in the coming 1-2 weeks. However, I do not believe this is the end of the bear market rally, and that this rally might continue longer than expected.
Rates have continued to consolidate, and the market is anticipating FED’s reaction to the NFP surprise.
SMU (2023-01-29): Battle Between FOMO Bulls and Bears
Bulls are starting to aim for not ATHs. If we look at the Fear vs Greed, it has reached 88% (+11%-points since last week) and I believe that this is spiked by extra FOMO in the markets. However, the bears are still convinced that this is a bear market rally and are increasing their shorts (
Portfolio Analysis: Indices
Analysis of Indices using Modern Portfolio Theory. This portfolio analysis is part of a series where I will first analyze the different asset classes I use in the Sunday Market Updatet (Indices, Sectors, FX, and Commodities).
SMU (2023-01-22): Taking 2023’s Temperature
The start of 2023 has without a doubt been intense. Indices and gold have rallied, rates have gone down, and the economic indicators are signaling that a recession is guaranteed.
If we look at Fear vs Greed we can see that it has come down slightly, and this is at the same time that the markets started to dip at the end of…